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Super Computer Euro Prediction: 3-way race between England, Germany and France to win Euro 2024 title

Super Computer Euro Prediction: 3-way race between England, Germany and France to win Euro 2024 title

England started off their Euro 2024 campaign on a victorious note with a 1-0 win against Serbia in their tournament opener

England are tipped to win the Euro 2024 cup despite a shaky start to their campaign against Serbia. As per our BETSiE Super Computer, the Three Lions 21.26% chances of winning the tournament. Germany, France and Portugal are predicted to make it to the top four while Spain has very low chances of winning the Euro 2024.

England to win Euro 2024?

England are predicted to finish on top of Group C, with 83.32% chance of winning the group. Germany, France and Portugal are predicted to have 17.69%, 16.24% and 10.84% chances to win the title respectively. Georgia and Albania are predicted to finish at the bottom of the table.

RankNationWin GroupQualifyQtr FinalsSemi FinalsReach FinalRunner UpWin Euros
1England83.32%99.07%77.88%51.89%34.25%12.98%21.26%
2Germany76.29%99.78%73.68%46.57%30.63%12.94%17.69%
3France53.78%93.43%70.61%49.20%27.72%11.48%16.24%
4Portugal61.23%94.92%63.03%40.28%21.02%10.17%10.84%
5Spain65.08%99.42%69.97%34.99%19.37%9.93%9.44%
Super Computer predicts Euro 2024 winner

England survive Serbia scare

England’s boy Jude Bellingham opened the scoring for the Three Lions. A blasting header in the 13th minute of the game helped England put wind on their sails. While both teams struggled to convert their chances, Harry Kane did come close to doubling his side’s lead. Eventually, after a rather cagey and physical battle, England walk away with 3 points to top Group C.

How does BETSiE Super Computer produce the prediction?

BETSiE projects the entire Euro 2024 tournament, taking into account the results of tournament qualification and previous international tournaments.
BETSiE considers the following match data:

  • Goals For / Against
  • Shots For / Against
  • Shots on Target For / Against

However, not all goals, shots or shots on target are equal. Each goal, shot and shot on target has an adjusted value. Based on the match data detailed above, expected scores are calculated for each match played. Each team is then assigned an average expected goals for and against.
Once expected goals for each club have been determined, BETSiE plugs them into the Euro 2024 schedule and predicts scores for each upcoming game at Euro 2024 and the probability of each nation winning, drawing or losing each match.

Expected match points are then assigned to each team in each upcoming match. BETSiE then compiles the expected results with results of matches already played and simulates the remainder of the tournament 500,000 times to determine the probability of each team qualifying from their group, winning their group, reaching the final and winning the tournament.

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