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IPL 2025 Playoff Scenarios: LSG eliminated, MI vs DC for last spot

IPL 2025 Playoff Scenarios: LSG eliminated, MI vs DC for last spot

Catch the scenarios and probability of all the ten IPL 2025 teams' chances to make it into top four and qualify for the playoffs.

After Match 60, we finally have three teams in the Indian Premier League (IPL) 2025 playoffs. With Sunrisers Hyderabad beating Lucknow Super Giants by 6 wickets, only Mumbai Indians and Delhi Capitals remain in the race to seal that one remaining spot. The remaining 9 matches will be crucial. There is still a Qualifier 1 spot to be earned, while three teams will fight for the only remaining spot in the playoffs.

IPL 2025 Points Table

PosTeamsMatWonLostNRPtsNRR
1Gujarat Titans (Q)12930180.795
2Royal Challengers Bengaluru (Q)12831170.482
3Punjab Kings (Q)12831170.389
4Mumbai Indians12750141.156
5Delhi Capitals12651130.006
6Kolkata Knight Riders (E)13562120.193
7Lucknow Super Giants (E)1257010-0.506
8Sunrisers Hyderabad (E)124719-1.005
9Rajasthan Royals (E)1331006-0.701
10Chennai Super Kings (E)123906-0.992

IPL Playoff format

  • Qualifier 1: The top two teams (1st vs 2nd) from the league stage compete. The winner advances directly to the final. The loser gets another chance in Qualifier 2.
  • Eliminator: The third and fourth-placed teams (3rd vs 4th) face off. The winner advances to Qualifier 2, and the loser is eliminated.
  • Qualifier 2: The loser of Qualifier 1 plays the winner of the Eliminator. The winner of this match qualifies for the final. The loser is eliminated.
  • Final: The winner of Qualifier 1 faces the winner of Qualifier 2 to determine the IPL champion.

RCB (Royal Challengers Bengaluru) Scenario – QUALIFIED

  • Remaining Fixtures: vs LSG (A), vs SRH (H)
  • Position: 1st – 12 matches, 17 points, NRR +0.482
  • Status: Qualified

RCB Qualification Scenario

With Gujarat Titans winning against Delhi Capitals, Royal Challengers Bengaluru have secured a playoff spot. Now, RCB have two matches left to vie for a top 2 finish and secure a place in Qualifier 1. RCB are currently 2nd with 17 points from 12 matches. They need to win at least one out of the two matches to seal the Qualifier 1 spot.


PBKS (Punjab Kings) Scenario – QUALIFIED

  • Remaining Fixtures: vs DC (H), vs MI (H)
  • Position: 3rd – 12 matches, 17 points, NRR +0.389
  • Status: Qualified

PBKS Qualification Scenario

After 11 years, Punjab Kings have sealed a playoff spot. With 17 points from 12 matches, all PBKS needed was a win. But as GT won against DC, PBKS sealed the deal. All they need now is to beat DC and MI to seal a top 2 finish for Qualifier 1.


GT (Gujarat Titans) Scenario – QUALIFIED

  • Remaining Fixtures: vs LSG (H), vs CSK (H)
  • Position: 1st – 12 matches, 18 points, NRR +0.795
  • Status: Qualified

GT Qualification Scenario

Gujarat Titans became the first team to qualify for the IPL 2025 playoffs with a comprehensive 10-wicket win over Delhi Capitals. With 18 points from 12 matches, GT are on top of the points table. All they need is a win to seal a spot in Qualifier 1.


MI (Mumbai Indians) Scenario

  • Remaining Fixtures: vs PBKS (A), vs DC (H)
  • Position: 4th – 12 matches, 14 points, NRR +1.274
  • Probability: ~50%

Qualification Scenario

The loss against GT did not help MI. It not only ended MI’s 6-match winning streak but also slightly dented their hopes. MI’s path to qualification now is simple: beat DC. If they do so, they are through.


DC (Delhi Capitals) Scenario

  • Remaining Fixtures: vs MI (A), vs PBKS (A)
  • Position: 5th – 12 matches, 13 points, NRR +0.006
  • Probability: ~50%

DC Qualification Scenario

The 10-wicket loss to Gujarat Titans not only dented their chances but also wiped out any advantage they had on the Net Run Rate. DC now must win their two remaining matches to be in contention. In fact, MI vs DC will be a knockout match. The loser will bow out. If DC beats MI, they will have to beat PBKS as well to seal the deal or hope that MI loses to PBKS.


KKR (Kolkata Knight Riders) Scenario

  • Remaining Fixtures: vs SRH (A)
  • Position: 6th – 13 matches, 12 points, NRR +0.193
  • Status: Eliminated

KKR Qualification Scenario

And the inevitable has happened. With a washed-out match, Kolkata is ousted from the tournament, with only one match to go. They would like to salvage some pride there.


LSG (Lucknow Super Giants) Scenario

  • Remaining Fixtures: vs RCB (H), vs GT (A), vs SRH (H)
  • Position: 7th – 11 matches, 10 points, NRR -0.469
  • Status: Eliminated

LSG Qualification Scenario

LSG cannot qualify even if they win all remaining games. They can only reach 14 points. But they can decide the ranking on the points table, as they face GT and RCB next.


SRH (Sunrisers Hyderabad) Scenario

  • Remaining Fixtures: vs KKR (H), vs RCB (A), vs LSG (A)
  • Position: 8th – 11 matches, 7 points, NRR -1.192
  • Status: Eliminated

SRH cannot qualify even if they win all remaining games. They can only reach 13 points. Their role now is that of spoilers against KKR, RCB and LSG. Expect them to test bench strength and focus on ending the season with pride.


RR (Rajasthan Royals) Scenario

  • Remaining Fixtures: vs CSK (H)
  • Position: 9th – 13 matches, 6 points, NRR -0.701
  • Status: Eliminated

RR are officially out of the playoffs after their heavy loss to MI. The team will look to salvage some pride vs CSK.


CSK (Chennai Super Kings) Scenario

  • Remaining Fixtures: vs RR (A), vs GT (A)
  • Position: 10th – 12 matches, 6 points, NRR -0.992
  • Status: Eliminated

CSK’s campaign is over, and they will finish in the bottom two. A poor NRR and horrible form have marked their downfall. Their remaining matches will impact the playoff race.

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