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Asia Cup 2023 final scenarios Explained: Is IND vs PAK final still possible?

Asia Cup 2023 final scenarios Explained: Is IND vs PAK final still possible?

India, Pakistan, and Sri Lanka are in hunt for Asia Cup 2023 final spots.

We are at the business end of the Asia Cup 2023. While India vs Pakistan Asia Cup 2023 final was on the cards, it is now doubtful. With India winning against Sri Lanka and Pakistan, Rohit Sharma & Co have all but sealed a place in the final. But Pakistan are in a virtual knockout position. Pakistan have to beat Sri Lanka.

The Men in Green’s heavy defeat against Rohit and Co have put them in a tough spot. However, there is still a chance for a blockbuster IND vs PAK Asia Cup 2023 final on September 17.

Remaining schedule of Asia Cup 2023 Super Four:

  • SL vs PAK in Colombo, 14th Sep
  • IND vs BAN in Colombo, 15th Sep

Asia Cup 2023 Super 4s Points Table:

Super FoursMatWonLostTiedNRPtsNRR
India220004+2.690
Sri Lanka211002-0.200
Pakistan211002-1.892
Bangladesh202000-0.749

So far, Bangladesh and Pakistan have played 2 out of their 3 matches. After two rounds of Asia Cup 2023, India are on top with 4 points and with an NRR of 2.690. Sri Lanka have lost their NRR advantage after a 41-run loss to India. But they are still 2nd with -2.000.

So let’s take a look at the qualification scenarios of India and Pakistan and find out the different permutations and combinations for a IND vs PAK final in Asia Cup 2023 tournament.

Pakistan suffered heavy defeat against Team India in Super 4. However, there is still a chance for a IND vs PAK Asia Cup 2023 final.

Scenario 1: India wins against Sri Lanka and Bangladesh, Pakistan wins against Sri Lanka

Explanation: With win against Sri Lanka, India have sealed their spot. Even a heavy defeat against Bangladesh won’t matter much. The reason? Sri Lanka vs Pakistan will be a virtual knockout. If India remain undefeated in Super 4, they will be on 6 points. Pakistan will get to 4 points if they defeat Sri Lanka. In this case, India and Pakistan automatically play the final of Asia Cup 2023.

TeamsMatches PlayedWonLostPoints
India3306
Pakistan3214
Sri Lanka3122
Bangladesh3030

Scenario 2: India wins against Sri Lanka but lose against Bangladesh, Pakistan wins against Sri Lanka

Explanation: If India lose to Bangladesh, then they will end up with 4 points. And if Pakistan wins against Sri Lanka, the Men in Green will reach 4 points which will be enough for them to make it to finals.

Scenario 3: Pakistan loses against Sri Lanka

Pakistan suffered heavy defeat against Team India in Super 4. However, there is still a chance for a IND vs PAK Asia Cup 2023 final.

Explanation: If Pakistan loses against Sri Lanka, then they will end up with only 2 points. It will make India and Sri Lanka qualify for finals.

Super FoursMatches PlayedWonLostPoints
India3214
Sri Lanka3214
Pakistan3122
Bangladesh3030

Scenario 4: If rain washes out Pakistan vs Sri Lanka

Explaination: In that case, Sri Lanka will qualify for Asia Cup 2023 final due to better NRR.

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