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WTC Scenarios: What If India vs Australia series ends 2-2?

WTC Scenarios: What If India vs Australia series ends 2-2?

What will happen if the India vs Australia series ends in a 2-2 draw? Since there is a possibility of this, let's look at the WTC final qualification scenario for India in this case.

The World Test Championship is seeing a lot of drama as no team has yet confirmed their spot. What is certain is the venue and date, but a few upcoming battles will decide which teams will play in the WTC Final at Lord’s. Currently, three teams, India, Australia, and South Africa, are so close yet so far. However, South Africa’s place looks almost confirmed as they need just one win against Pakistan. The big question is, who will be the second team?

India is currently playing the BGT series in Australia, and the scoreline has been a seesaw ride at 1-1. The Gabba Test, which initially seemed to favor Australia, now looks like ending in a draw, thanks to Jasprit Bumrah and Akashdeep, who overcame all hurdles and made things possible for India.

So, what’s next? With two matches left, the 4th Test in Melbourne and the 5th Test in Sydney , one team may finish the series with a lead. But what will happen if the series ends 2-2? Can India still qualify for the WTC Final, or is there a twist in the tale? Let’s see what the WTC qualification scenario says.

Will India qualify for WTC if the IND vs AUS Series ends 2-2?

If the series ends 2-2, India can still qualify, but several permutations and combinations need to align. First, Sri Lanka must win the two-match series against Australia 1-0, as India will closely watch how their neighbours perform at home in the upcoming games. However, if Australia manages to win even one game in that series, it will almost mark the end of the road for the Indian camp.

In such a scenario, one more neighbour can help India. Since Pakistan is set to play two Test matches against South Africa, if Pakistan defeats South Africa, the Proteas will miss out, paving the way for India and Australia to face each other in the World Test Championship Final 2025.

WTC points table

PosTeamPlayedWonLostDrawDedPointsPCT
1South Africa1063107663.33
2Australia149411010260.71
3India16961211057.29
4New Zealand1477038148.21
5Sri Lanka1156006045.45
6England22111012211443.18
7Pakistan1046084033.33
8Bangladesh1248034531.25
9West Indies1127203224

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