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Should be studied in Harvard: Forget trophy, RCB defy probability losing 12 tosses in a row at home

Should be studied in Harvard: Forget trophy, RCB defy probability losing 12 tosses in a row at home

RCB have now lost 12 consecutive tosses at home across their men's and women's teams.

Forget their wait to win an IPL trophy. Forget their search for a first home win of IPL 2025. For Royal Challengers Bengaluru, luck has not been in their favour, with the franchise losing their 12th straight toss at the Chinnaswamy Stadium. The probability of losing 12 tosses in a row is 0.024%, with Smriti Mandhana and Rajat Patidar failing to win a single toss in 2025.

RCB’s barren run at coin tosses

Be it Rajat Patidar, Smriti Mandhana or even former captain Faf du Plessis, RCB captains have defied probability with their ability to get the call right at the toss at the Chinnaswamy Stadium. Du Plessis lost the toss in his last two games as RCB captain at home. Patidar, who succeeded the Proteas ace, has yet to win a toss at home this year, with the RCB vs RR clash being his 4th straight toss loss.

The plague has spread to the Royal Challengers Bengaluru women’s team as well. Smriti Mandhana lost the last 6 tosses at home, a run stretching back to WPL 2024. Such has been their luck at tosses, the official RCB handle on social media suggested that it needed to be studied in Harvard.

A barren run at winning the toss is not unheard of, with Rohit Sharma losing the last 15 ODI tosses. However, fortunately for the Indian skipper, that has not affected the results as such, with the Men in Blue winning the Champions Trophy earlier this year.

RCB’s last 12 home games

TeamCaptainOpponentResultYear
RCB-WSmriti MandhanaMI-WLost by 7 wickets2024
RCB-WSmriti MandhanaUP-WWon by 23 runs2024
RCBFaf du PlessisCSKWon by 27 runs2024
RCBFaf du PlessisDCWon by 47 runs2024
RCB-WSmriti MandhanaMI-WLost by 4 wickets2025
RCB-WSmriti MandhanaUP-WLost by Super Over2025
RCB-WSmriti MandhanaGG-WLost by 6 wickets2025
RCB-WSmriti MandhanaDC-WLost by 9 wickets2025
RCBRajat PatidarGTLost by 8 wickets2025
RCBRajat PatidarDCLost by 6 wickets2025
RCBRajat PatidarPBKSLost by 5 wickets2025
RCBRajat PatidarRRTBC2025

For Royal Challengers Bengaluru, their form at home has coincided with their luck at the toss. The Bengaluru outfit has won only 3 of their last 11 games at home. All those wins came last season. 2 of those wins came under Faf du Plessis’ leadership, who was since let go ahead of mega auction.

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